EUR/USD Loses Steam with Conclusion Wave-3 and Start Wave-4

May 19, 2017 07:00

EUR/USD

1 hour

The EUR/USD bullish momentum of wave 3 (purple) ran out of steam yesterday and started a wave 4 (purple) correction. Price has in the meantime retraced back to the Fibonacci levels of wave 4 which could as potential support and bounce levels.

4 hour

The EUR/USD could be retracing towards the 88.6% Fibonacci level of wave 2 (green) via an ABC zigzag (blue).

USD/JPY

4 hour

The USD/JPY indeed bounced at the golden ratio Fib of 61.8% level. Whether the wave C (brown) is still open or has been completed remains to be seen. Lower Fibonacci levels however also remain potential support spots.

1 hour

The USD/JPY completed the wave 3 (orange) and has made a significant retracement back to the 38.2% Fib of wave 4 (orange) which could act as resistance. A break above the 61.8% Fib makes a wave 4 unlikely.

GBP/USD

4 hour

The GBP/USD made one more push higher to test the top (red) of the bullish channel (green/red), which in turn created a strong bearish reaction. Whether price will build a wave 1-2 (grey) depends on whether price is able to break below the channel. A break above the 100% level indicates the invalidation of wave 2 and the potential for an uptrend continuation.

1 hour

The GBP/USD broke above the resistance (dotted orange), made one more push up as part of wave 5 (purple), and then reversed an broke below support (dotted blue).

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